BioMedima

Psychometric Evaluation of System-Thinking

The phone call asks whether a second hour is worth spending. The room repeats accumulation on paper and adds delay, leverage, a supply shock, and a fact that should kill the model.

What we are trying to do

We want to know whether a candidate can reason about a system: keep a stock apart from its flows, expect a delay, pick the lever that matters, and drop a model when a fact contradicts it. Interviews usually judge this from how well someone talks about complexity. We would rather measure it, and the method comes from neuropsychology.

In the clinic

Who
A patient, often after a stroke or a head injury.
The question
Which cognitive functions still work, and which are affected?
How
Short standard tasks, each aimed mainly at one function, scored by written rules.

In our interviews

Who
A healthy adult applying for a job.
The question
Does this person have the few system-thinking abilities the job needs?
How
Tasks of the same kind, given as psychometric tests inside the interview and scored on the spot.

We keep the clinic's discipline and change the question. Nobody is being diagnosed.

What we borrow from the clinic

In neuropsychologyIn this screen
Same instructionsSame materials, wording and order for every patient, so scores can be compared (Lezak et al., 2012).Same prompts in the same order, in timed blocks. Interviewers use the written probes and leave the item alone.
One task, one functionA battery is read as a pattern of what holds up and what fails.Each item targets one operation. A low score on delay says nothing about leverage.
Process scoringKaplan's Boston Process Approach records how the answer was reached and which errors were made (Kaplan, 1990; Libon et al., 2013).The scale names the typical errors, Miss and Surface, and a fragment of the candidate's words backs every score.
Rules set in advanceResults are read against criteria fixed before the session.Advance, Hold and Stop were written before the first interview. Fluency cannot override them.

The two interviews

20 minutes, phone

  1. P1 Inbox. Integrate a stock. Reject "same curve shape."
  2. P2 Two stories. One skeleton, or two industries.
  3. P3 The meeting. Refuse a parameter before the beat.
  4. P4 Certainty. Name an observation that would end the account.

Advance when P1 is at least 2, P2 or P3 is at least 2, and P4 is at least 2. If P1 is 0 or 1, stop, however fluent the rest.

45 minutes, in the room

  1. A Bench. Five weeks, a running total.
  2. B Four memos. Pair by mechanism.
  3. C Hiring surge. A four-month lag and a stock already in process.
  4. D Four proposals. Goal and information above a bonus.
  5. F Two plants. An efficient plant and a robust one, through a six-week shutdown.
  6. E New fact. Retire the capacity story.

Advance when A is at least 2, E is at least 1, and the mean of A–E is at least 2.2. A equal to 1 stops the file. E equal to 0 stops it. A strong speech does not repair the bench. F is scored and reported next to the decision; it does not enter the rule until it has been checked against outcomes.

Task F covers something the other five don't. Reading a system well does not tell you whether it will survive a bad month. A good answer walks both plants through the shock, notices that three suppliers sharing one port count as one, and says which margin it would keep and what that margin costs. The background is on the science page.

The scale

ScoreNameWhat it means in the room
0MissThe relation is absent or reversed. Often fluent.
1SurfaceA real detail of the story, used as the structure. Certainty is usually high.
2PartialOne necessary distinction, missing the second.
3CompetentThe operation, in plain language. Jargon is optional.
4ExceptionalCompetent, plus a second model, a named falsifier, or a limit they state. Rare. Eloquence does not earn it.

What gets recorded

For each form: first name, last name, interview date, which interview, a score and a short fragment of their words on every item, and comments. The fragment is the evidence. "Impressive" is not a score.

Records stay in this browser (local storage), and clearing the browser deletes them. When the first and last name match, a second interview is filed on the same person. That is how the individual report can show both sittings.

The frameworks we hold it to

Psychometrics has detailed rules for tests used on people at work. These are the six we checked the screen against.

Testing Standards

AERA, APA and NCME, 2014

Evidence of validity for each intended use, with reliability and fairness checked alongside. Most of the others build on it.

Selection Principles

SIOP, 2018, adopted by the APA

How to show that a selection procedure predicts the work it is used for.

Guidelines on Test Use

International Test Commission

Who is competent to give a test, and what the candidate is owed afterwards. The ITC says this covers selection interviews too.

Test Review Model

EFPA, 2025

A review of norms, reliability and validity. Structured interviewing systems are in its scope.

ISO 10667

ISO, 2020, parts for the client and the provider

Duties of whoever commissions an assessment and whoever delivers it, including how results are reported and stored.

Assessment-centre guidelines

International Taskforce, 2015

Candidates are told what to expect, and assessors are trained before they score. Our 45-minute room interview works much like one of their exercises.

What the evidence says

Sackett and colleagues (2022) re-analysed decades of selection studies. Their estimates of how well each method predicts job performance:

.42Structured interviews, now ranked first
.33Work samples
.31General cognitive ability tests

These are averages for each kind of method; our screen has no estimate of its own yet. Levashina and colleagues (2014) describe what makes an interview structured: standard questions, anchored rating scales and rules for probing. The screen uses all of them.

The nearest existing tests

Bathtub inventory

Booth Sweeney & Sterman, 2000

Short stock-and-flow tasks. Business-school students with strong quantitative backgrounds did poorly on them. P1 and Task A belong to this family.

MicroDYN

Greiff, Wüstenberg & Funke, 2012

People explore an unknown system on screen. In the 2012 study, model building predicted school grades. Forecasting did not.

Watson-Glaser

Pearson TalentLens

40 timed items on assumptions, inference and arguments. Widely used in hiring, with nothing on accumulation or delay.

The science page says what we kept from each.

Where we fall short

Measured against those standards, the screen is young.

The standards ask forStatusWhat it would take
Agreement between interviewersNot yetTwo interviewers score the same answers independently, and we count the disagreements. This is the first check to run.
NormsNot yetEnough scored candidates to say what a typical score looks like.
Validity for the jobNot yetScores compared with how the people hired later perform.
Candidates informed beforehandIn placeThe public pages of this site describe the tasks and how they are scored.

Open the interview forms

References

  1. American Educational Research Association, American Psychological Association, & National Council on Measurement in Education (2014). Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing. AERA. Open access
  2. Booth Sweeney, L., & Sterman, J. D. (2000). Bathtub dynamics: Initial results of a systems thinking inventory. System Dynamics Review, 16(4), 249–286. doi:10.1002/sdr.198 (author's PDF)
  3. European Federation of Psychologists' Associations (2025). Model for the Review, Description and Evaluation of Psychological and Educational Tests.
  4. Greiff, S., Wüstenberg, S., & Funke, J. (2012). Dynamic problem solving: A new assessment perspective. Applied Psychological Measurement, 36(3), 189–213. doi:10.1177/0146621612439620
  5. International Organization for Standardization (2020). ISO 10667-1 and ISO 10667-2, Assessment service delivery: Procedures and methods to assess people in work and organizational settings. Part 1, Part 2
  6. International Taskforce on Assessment Center Guidelines (2015). Guidelines and ethical considerations for assessment center operations. Journal of Management, 41(4), 1244–1273. doi:10.1177/0149206314567780
  7. International Test Commission. International Guidelines for Test Use.
  8. Kaplan, E. (1990). The process approach to neuropsychological assessment of psychiatric patients. Journal of Neuropsychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences, 2(1), 72–87. doi:10.1176/jnp.2.1.72
  9. Levashina, J., Hartwell, C. J., Morgeson, F. P., & Campion, M. A. (2014). The structured employment interview: Narrative and quantitative review of the research literature. Personnel Psychology, 67(1), 241–293. doi:10.1111/peps.12052
  10. Lezak, M. D., Howieson, D. B., Bigler, E. D., & Tranel, D. (2012). Neuropsychological Assessment (5th ed.). Oxford University Press.
  11. Libon, D. J., Swenson, R. A., Ashendorf, L., Bauer, R. M., & Bowers, D. (2013). Edith Kaplan and the Boston Process Approach. The Clinical Neuropsychologist, 27(8), 1223–1233. doi:10.1080/13854046.2013.833295
  12. Sackett, P. R., Zhang, C., Berry, C. M., & Lievens, F. (2022). Revisiting meta-analytic estimates of validity in personnel selection: Addressing systematic overcorrection for restriction of range. Journal of Applied Psychology, 107(11), 2040–2068. doi:10.1037/apl0000994
  13. Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology (2018). Principles for the Validation and Use of Personnel Selection Procedures (5th ed.). doi:10.1017/iop.2018.195
  14. TalentLens. Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal. Pearson.